NuraVolt
Technical Whitepaper • 10 pages

365-Day Soiling Forecast System

Physics-ML hybrid forecasting with uncertainty quantification and optimal cleaning schedule optimization for maximum ROI.

The Problem:

Fixed cleaning schedules waste money through over-cleaning in wet seasons and under-cleaning in dry seasons. Operators need data-driven scheduling optimized for their specific plant economics.

What You'll Learn:

  • 365-day forecast horizon with physics baseline + ML corrections
  • Uncertainty quantification: ±2% (30d), ±5% (90d), ±8-12% (365d)
  • Seasonal modulation: 1.5x dry season (May-Sept), 0.5x wet (Oct-Apr)
  • Rain cleaning model: >10mm = up to 95% restoration
  • Exhaustive search optimizer tests 1-5 cleaning scenarios per year
  • Example: 2 optimized cleanings vs 12 baseline → €109K net benefit, 1013% ROI
365-Day Soiling Forecast System

Based on: Research from NREL, Sandia Labs, IEEE studies, and operational data from 100+ MWp of GCC solar & BESS assets.

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